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  1. Replies
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    Bet what kind of marginal made hand?

    I'm trying to build a default strategy for my flop betting decisions, and would like to hear your opinions.
    Between 3 marginal made hand (decent equity vs villain's entire range) on the flop:

    ...
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    I don't like to 3-bet an UTG with AQs, but as...

    I don't like to 3-bet an UTG with AQs, but as played, I would have call it off, assuming you are not in weird ICM situations. You need ~33% equity and AQs vs a tight range of JJ+ AK is 32%. The UTG...
  3. If you know some friends who are somewhat good at...

    If you know some friends who are somewhat good at poker (average level), you can always play home games 10/20 cents or something like that. Just 2-3 good players are enough, it doesn't matter much if...
  4. Any videos for mid stage of a tournament with hole cards up?

    Background:
    I am competing in some live tournaments soon. The buy-ins are around $500-$3k, 50-200 entrants, with different play levels (1/5 of the field are fishes, 1/5 bad regulars with some...
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    I think your read about your opponents' range is...

    I think your read about your opponents' range is spot on. Still think it doesn't worth to bluff here. Reasons:

    - It's very early in the tournament. With stack this deep, many players would not...
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    You didn't say which position you have. 1....

    You didn't say which position you have.

    1. Raise to $40-50. Live players will call big raise with weak hands all the time, raising small the way you usually do online is a mistake (as you see...
  7. Well of course a LAG player will get more value...

    Well of course a LAG player will get more value from his hands than a tight passive player. But I think the main profit of a LAG player still comes from picking up pots where his opponents are weak,...
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    Wow that's a lot of maths. I will need some time...

    Wow that's a lot of maths. I will need some time to look at all of these.

    There's a small thing though. If we consider that JJ is not that good of a hand to 4-bet in this situation when both our...
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    My reply is already very long, so now I will...

    My reply is already very long, so now I will address your example of the 4 handed SNG in this separate post.

    I think you mistakenly use the equity of Player A. Your other numbers are very off as...
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    Yeah, you could have made a detailed answer from...

    Yeah, you could have made a detailed answer from the beginning, instead of repeatedly ignore all my counter examples in the other thread. This way we can see it more easily where each one of us can...
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    Blind v Blind I don't think you can get him to...

    Blind v Blind I don't think you can get him to fold Ax in this situation, especially when he has double your stack as GingerNinja mentioned.

    On this kind of board, he will call the flop rarely (he...
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    How to CORRECTLY use ICM factor

    I'm talking about this original thread:
    http://www.pokerforums.org/floattheturn-com/45436-icm-factor-how.html
    It's very useful, but there is a slight error in the maths. I corrected it and posted...
  13. Replies
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    807

    I have read Kill Everyone, and I know all about...

    I have read Kill Everyone, and I know all about these theory concepts you just talked about. What I am interested in is how to put this into practice, i.e. at the table, how can I just glance at the...
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    There is an error in the formula with using the...

    There is an error in the formula with using the ICM factor in the fold equity + call equity equation.
    Your formula is
    Fold Equity * Current pot + (1 - Fold Equity)*[Hand equity * (Current pot + 2 *...
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    Btw I just want to say that, although I disagree...

    Btw I just want to say that, although I disagree with your maths here, this discussion has been very beneficial to me, so thank you for that. I am an experienced cash game player who just recently...
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    I have seen JL used the 5-10% extra edge shortcut...

    I have seen JL used the 5-10% extra edge shortcut plenty of times late in a tournament, or in final table with pay jumps, and I tend to agree with that.

    Whichever way you used to estimate your ICM...
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    If you don't know about villain's postflop...

    If you don't know about villain's postflop tendency, I think you should flat the raise. We are 200bb deep, A3s although being a very strong hand here, would be in bad shape if you get it all in on...
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    An easy way to see this is incorrect is to see...

    An easy way to see this is incorrect is to see what the result is for KK (btw you had some slight error, the HJ stack is 35bb and not 25bb so it should be 78 and 52.5 instead of 58 and 37.5).
    10 *...
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    We are not on the bubble. Using an ICM factor of...

    We are not on the bubble. Using an ICM factor of 1.5 is way over adjusted. This is not SNG. I think JL usually said that in MTT, you need ~5% extra % compared to cash games, up to ~10% in regular...
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    @jjpregler: I'm not so sure about that. - There...

    @jjpregler: I'm not so sure about that.
    - There are still 4 places left till the bubble. JL even said in the book "We were getting close to the money but not quite close enough to play like a nit"....
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    My questions are indeed aimed at JL, but I...

    My questions are indeed aimed at JL, but I welcome any other players to give their own answers / opinions / insights.
    I agree with not flatting JJ here. However, I still think it's way too nitty not...
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    2 streets of value for top pair?

    In general, we should try to get 2 streets of value out of our TPGK kinds of hands, unless the board is very safe or vs a very passive/straightforward player (so we should check back 1 street).
    ...
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    Folding JJ vs a late position 3 bet??

    In your "Secrets of Tournament Poker" vol 2, chapter 9 (Hand examples), hand #1:
    $20k event, down to 16 players, 12 paid
    HJ (35bb, TAG) raises 2bb
    CO (80bb, super LAG) 3-bet 5.5bb
    You (BTN, 45bb)...
  24. So the reason you would c-bet with AQ on Q-high...

    So the reason you would c-bet with AQ on Q-high board but check call (assuming medium-sized stack) with QQ/TT on low connecting board is because your hand has more outs to improve in case you are...
  25. Medium hand, wet board, OOP, tricky opponent

    Sometimes I get into a tough spot, e.g. if I raise with QdQh in MP and a good LAG guy calls behind (we are relatively deep). The board comes 976 with a spade draw. The opponent is the kind of players...
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